JPMorgan Net Drops 50%, Matching Analysts' Estimates

JPMorgan Chase & Co., the third- biggest U.S. bank, said the credit-market crisis is almost over after it reported a 50 percent drop in first-quarter profit on $5.1 billion of writedowns and provisions.

JPMorgan rose as much as 5.4 percent in New York trading as the losses from home-equity loans, financing for leveraged buyouts and subprime mortgages were smaller than analysts predicted and revenue exceeded expectations. Net income dropped to $2.37 billion, or 68 cents a share, matching estimates.

In this environment, being able to post earnings as they did is I think all-in good news, Charles Bobrinskoy, vice chairman of Ariel Capital Management LLC in Chicago, which owned more than 611,000 JPMorgan shares as of Dec. 31, said in a Bloomberg Television interview.

JPMorgan, which has posted about $10 billion of writedowns and losses since the beginning of last year, is now grappling with a sagging labor market that has hurt clients' ability to pay credit cards and consumer loans on time. The New York-based company set aside $1.1 billion in the first three months of 2008 for future home-equity loan defaults, after boosting those provisions by $395 million in the fourth quarter.

Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon, 52, said on a conference call with reporters that the credit-market crisis is more than halfway finished as financial firms reduce leverage, and may be as much as 80 percent over.

That side is working itself out, Dimon said. That doesn't mean the recession won't get worse or better.

Revenue Declines

Revenue fell 11 percent to $16.9 billion, compared with the average estimate of $16.8 billion among analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Return on equity, a gauge of how effectively the company reinvests earnings, was 8 percent, compared with 17 percent a year earlier.

Profit declined from $4.79 billion, or $1.34 a share, in the same quarter a year earlier. Earnings matched the average estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, and beat Thomson Financial's survey by 4 cents a share.

Wells Fargo & Co., the biggest bank on the U.S. West Coast, said first-quarter profit dropped 11 percent to $2 billion, a smaller decline than analysts estimated because the company was able to limit losses from home-price declines in California.

JPMorgan rose $2.16, or 5.2 percent, to $44.28 in composite trading at 12:26 p.m. on the New York Stock Exchange. The shares had fallen almost 16 percent in the past 12 months through yesterday, compared with 57 percent at bigger rival Citigroup Inc. Bank of America Corp., the second-largest U.S. bank by assets, has declined 30 percent.

Investment Banking

The investment-banking division lost $87 million in the first quarter, compared with profit of $1.5 billion in the year- earlier period. Revenue from that business fell by half as JPMorgan marked down $1.1 billion of leveraged loans and $1.2 billion of mortgage-related securities.

Profit from asset management dropped 16 percent to $356 million.

Consumer banking had a loss of $227 million after the bank increased its subprime-related provisions by $417 million. Chief Financial Officer Michael Cavanagh said on the call that the bank expects credit-card charge-offs to gradually rise during the rest of this year.

Dimon said home prices could fall another 7 percent to 9 percent this year, putting pressure on all mortgage-related assets including loans made to people with the best credit.

The banks have a lot of credit losses they're going to have to work through, Ryan Lentell, an analyst at Morningstar Inc. in Chicago, said in a Bloomberg Television interview.

Writedown Estimates

CreditSights Inc. analyst David Hendler estimated in an April 7 research note that JPMorgan's first-quarter losses and provisions would be $7.5 billion, including leveraged loans and mortgages.

Credit-default swaps tied to JPMorgan's bonds fell 6 basis points to 90 basis points, according to broker Phoenix Partners Group. The contracts, used to speculate on corporate creditworthiness or to hedge against losses, decline as investor confidence improves.

U.S. employers cut 80,000 jobs in March -- the most workers in five years -- and the unemployment rate rose to 5.1 percent, the highest since September 2005. The economy also lost jobs in January and February, according to Labor Department figures released April 4.

Consumers fell behind on credit-card, home-equity and auto loans at the fastest pace in 15 years during the fourth quarter of last year, according to a survey by the American Bankers Association released April 3.

Bear Stearns

JPMorgan agreed to acquire New York-based Bear Stearns Cos., once the fifth-biggest U.S. securities firm, on March 16 after lenders and clients fled on concern the company faced a cash shortage. JPMorgan, which got financial support from the Federal Reserve, raised the purchase price from $2 a share to $10 a week later to quell concerns that Bear Stearns shareholders would reject the deal.

Cavanagh said on the conference call with reporters that it's too early to say how many jobs will be lost in the takeover.

The acquisition doesn't preclude JPMorgan from pursuing other deals and the bank is looking at everything, Dimon said.

JPMorgan recently made a bid for Washington Mutual Inc., the largest U.S. savings and loan, according to a person familiar with the talks. Washington Mutual sold $7 billion in shares to an investor group led by private-equity firm TPG Inc. instead of accepting a buyout.

JPMorgan acquires troubled Bear

JPMorgan completes deal to acquire foundering Wall Street brokerage and stave off wider chaos in financial markets.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. said Sunday that it would acquire troubled Wall Street firm Bear Stearns amid deepening fears that Bear's demise could have sent shockwaves across the already shaky financial markets.

The deal values Bear Stearns at $236 million, or just $2 a share - shares had closed at $30 on Friday, down 47% that day.

JPMorgan is taking immediate responsibility for Bear's trading obligations and assuming "management oversight" of the firm's operations. The deal is subject to approval by shareholders but has already been approved by the Federal Reserve and other regulators, according to a statement released by JPMorgan. The Fed is providing special emergency financing for up to $30 billion in Bear Stearns (BSC, Fortune 500) assets.

With the global credit crisis worsening, the Fed - along with officials from the Treasury Department - has been taking dramatic action to help banks and prevent widespread panic through the financial markets.

"JPMorgan stands behind Bear Stearns," said Jamie Dimon, chairman and chief executive of JPMorgan. "Bear Stearns clients and counterparties should feel secure that JPMorgan is guaranteeing ... risk," he continued.

Bear Stearns was on the brink of financial collapse Friday when JPMorgan and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said they would provide the brokerage a short-term loan. Bear was dealing with a classic run-on-the-bank: The firm's short-term creditors refused to lend the firm any more money and simultaneously demanded repayment of outstanding debt. The one-two punch overwhelmed Bear's cash position.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said on Sunday that talks about how to rescue Bear had continued throughout the weekend. He defended the Fed's bailout on Friday as "the right decision" and said the Bush administration was ready to take other actions to bring stability to the financial markets.

The fast-track deal is expected to close by the end of June, the statement said.

Bear Stearns has approximately 14,000 employees worldwide.

A deep, fast fall

The deal marks an inglorious chapter for 85-year-old Bear Stearns, a storied Wall Street firm whose unraveling has been fast and furious.

Rumors that Bear Stearns was on the verge of collapse started buzzing around Wall Street trading desks last Monday. Chief Executive Alan Schwartz - who took over as CEO in early January from longtime chief Jimmy Cayne - appeared on television on Wednesday afternoon to reassure the markets that the firm was stable.

But by Thursday night, Bear was in a severe crunch. Some firms that trade with it effectively stopped offering it credit because they feared that Bear was running short of short-term funding, or liquidity.

Shares of Bear Stearns opened last week at $69.75 and traded as high as $159 last year.

JPMorgan-Bear deal close

JPMorgan nearing completion of deal to acquire foundering Wall Street brokerage Bear Stearns, Wall Street Journal reports.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. was reportedly close Sunday to acquiring troubled Wall Street firm Bear Stearns as fears deepened that Bear's demise could send shockwaves across the already shaky financial markets.

The Wall Street Journal cited unnamed sources who said the parties were trying to complete a tie-up before the financial markets open in Asia on Monday. The Journal also said that Bear Stearns executives are preparing for a possible bankruptcy filing - a move the firm might have to take if it doesn't consummate a deal.

Bear Stearns was on the brink of financial collapse Friday when JPMorgan and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said they would provide the brokerage a short-term loan.

With the global credit crisis worsening, the Fed - along with officials from the Treasury Department and other government agencies - took the dramatic action to prevent the investment bank from going under and igniting widespread panic through the financial markets.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said on Sunday that talks about how to rescue Bear had continued throughout the weekend. He defended the Fed's bailout on Friday as "the right decision" and said the Bush administration was ready to take other actions to bring stability to the financial markets.

The Journal report said the terms of the deal were still being negotiated, but that Bear Stearns could sell for about $2.2 billion, or slightly less than $20 a share. Bear Stearns shares closed at $30 on Friday, down 47%.

A deep, fast fall

The deal would mark an inglorious final chapter for 85-year-old Bear Stearns, a storied Wall Street firm whose unraveling has been fast and furious.

Rumors that Bear Stearns was on the verge of collapse started buzzing around Wall Street trading desks last Monday. Chief Executive Alan Schwartz - who took over as CEO in early January from longtime chief Jimmy Cayne - appeared on television on Wednesday afternoon to reassure the markets that the firm was stable.

But by Thursday night, Bear was in a severe crunch. Some firms that trade with it effectively stopped offering it credit because they feared that Bear was running short of short-term funding, or liquidity.

Shares of Bear Stearns opened last week at $69.75 and traded as high as $159 last year.

JPMorgan Fourth-Quarter Earnings Fall, Miss Estimates

JPMorgan Chase & Co., the third- biggest U.S. bank, said profit dropped 34 percent on subprime- mortgage writedowns and higher provisions for future loan defaults.

Fourth-quarter net income declined to $2.97 billion, or 86 cents a share, from $4.53 billion, or $1.26, a year earlier, the New York-based bank said today in a statement. JPMorgan rose as much as 6.8 percent in New York trading as the $1.3 billion writedown was smaller than analysts estimated.

The profit decline, the first since Jamie Dimon became chief executive officer in 2005, came as trading revenue fell and JPMorgan prepared for what it said may be a substantial weakening in the U.S. economy. The company added $2.3 billion to credit reserves, bringing the total to $10 billion. Citigroup Inc., the biggest U.S. bank, said yesterday it added $5.2 billion to cover U.S. loan losses and took an $18.1 billion writedown.

We remain extremely cautious as we enter 2008, Dimon, 51, said in the statement. If the economy weakens substantially from here -- for which, as a company, we need to be prepared --it will negatively affect business volumes and drive credit costs higher.

JPMorgan gained $1.68, or 4.3 percent, to $40.85 in composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange at 10:28 a.m.

Their diversified business model really continues to separate JPMorgan from a lot of their peers, said William Fitzpatrick, an analyst at Racine, Wisconsin-based Optique Capital Management, which oversees $1.7 billion including JPMorgan shares.

Revenue Increase

Revenue climbed 7 percent to $17.4 billion, compared with the average estimate of $17.2 billion in the Bloomberg survey. Profit fell short of the 92-cent average estimate of 17 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Last year's fourth-quarter earnings included a one-time gain of $622 million.

Net income at the investment-banking division tumbled 88 percent to $124 million in the fourth quarter, as credit-market turmoil reduced revenue from debt underwriting 39 percent, to $467 million. Fixed-income revenue tumbled 70 percent because of the writedown, to $615 million, and weaker trading results contributed to a 40 percent drop in equity market revenue, which fell to $578 million.

The retail bank's profit climbed 5 percent to $752 million, driven by increases in mortgage banking. Those gains were tempered by declines in the home-equity and auto-loan businesses. Charge-offs on home-equity loans totaled $248 million. Profit from auto loans was $49 million, a 25 percent drop from a year earlier.

Credit Costs

Dimon said on a conference call with analysts that he isn't predicting a U.S. recession, though credit costs will increase as the economy weakens.

JPMorgan earned 15 percent less from its card services business, as its provision for future losses rose 40 percent to $1.79 billion.

Return on equity from continuing operations, a gauge of how effectively the company reinvests earnings, was 10 percent, compared with 14 percent a year earlier.

JPMorgan lost 18 percent of its market value in the past 12 months, compared with 50 percent at New York-based Citigroup and 29 percent at Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp.

JPMorgan's Tier 1 capital ratio, which regulators monitor to assess banks' ability to withstand loan losses, remained unchanged from the third quarter at 8.4 percent.

Rating Downgrade

Deutsche Bank AG analyst Michael Mayo reduced his rating on JPMorgan to hold from buy yesterday due to accelerating problems in U.S. consumer banking. Losses from credit cards and mortgages are increasing as the global economy slows. Citigroup said yesterday its record $9.83 billion loss was due in part to an increase in provisions for losses on auto and credit-card loans.

We feel that JPMorgan cannot escape tougher external conditions, Mayo wrote in his research note.

Richard Bove, an analyst at Punk Ziegel & Co. in Lutz, Florida, said JPMorgan may capitalize on its relative success in protecting its capital by purchasing another bank. Bove pointed to Seattle-based Washington Mutual Inc., the biggest savings and loan, as one possibility.

Dimon said on the conference call that he's open-minded about the possibility of acquiring other banks, and the current market environment makes such a takeover more likely.

Leveraged Buyouts

JPMorgan arranged $170 billion of loans used to finance leveraged buyouts in the U.S. last year, more than any bank and representing 16 percent of the market, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The company was also the largest underwriter of U.S. high-yield corporate debt, with $20 billion in 2007.

The fourth quarter may be the worst earnings period for the financial industry since the Great Depression. Analysts estimate Merrill Lynch & Co., the biggest U.S. brokerage, will report a record loss tomorrow of more than $3 billion after writing down the value of mortgage-related securities. Bank of America, the second-largest U.S. bank by assets after Citigroup, may report its biggest profit decline since its formation in 1998 from the merger of BankAmerica and NationsBank.